10 lines
1.6 KiB
Plaintext
10 lines
1.6 KiB
Plaintext
“All [our] models are wrong”
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<p>It’s Climategate II, with another email dump from the CRU team, and Phil Jones writing that “All [our] models are wrong”</p>
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<p><span id="more-3954"></span></p>
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<p>I haven’t read the new dump yet. But the quotes journalists have been pulling out are enough to tell me there are no surprises here.</p>
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<p>Well, that is, no surprises if you’ve read my previous posts about <a href="http://esr.ibiblio.org/?p=1642">error cascades</a> and the <a href="http://esr.ibiblio.org/?p=1631">sociology of AGW alarmism</a>.</p>
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<p>What we’re seeing in these emails is exactly the phenomenon I described; the “team” launched an error cascade that is now hooked into green-shirt political agendas. Peter Thorne: “The science is being manipulated to put a political spin on it which for all our sakes might not be too clever in the long run”.</p>
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<p>Thorne also confirmed what I’ve written about several times on this blog: “Observations do not show rising temperatures throughout the tropical troposphere unless you accept one single study and approach and discount a wealth of others. This is just downright dangerous.”</p>
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<p>That is, the CRU team itself understands that empirical confirmation for greenhouse warming is lacking. The atmosphere is not doing what the AGW models predict. “Basic problem is that all models are wrong”, writes Phil Jones, bluntly, “not got enough middle and low level clouds.”</p>
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<p>That’s a fitting epitaph for anthropogenic global warming.</p>
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